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Predictions using Multiple Linear Regression in TIBCO Spotfire - Tip of the Week

Tip of the Week

Predictions using Multiple Linear Regression in TIBCO Spotfire

Multiple linear regression analysis is one of the most commonly used statistical modeling techniques in the business world for predictions.  In this tip we will look at how to do multiple linear regression analysis inside TIBCO Spotfire (from version 5.0 on). In this use case, assume a hotel chain is looking to understand where to build its next hotel.  They have identified 20 possible site locations and their goal is to select the one which will give them the highest possible profit margin. They have a hypothesis that the following metrics are explanatory (or predictor) variables for making predictions to hotel’s profit margin:

  • The number of competing hotel rooms within a 5 mile area
  • Distance to the nearest hotel
  • Size of local office space in a 10 mile area
  • Number of students enrolled in colleges within a 10 mile area
  • Median household income of town locals
  • Distance to town center

To start with, we take a sample of already established hotels in the chain and load into Spotfire.  The data includes each hotel’s profit margin as well as values for the variables listed above.

Now we can apply one of the regression models from the Tools menu in Spotfire Professional (starting in version 5.0).

 


In this case, we will be doing regression modeling, so we choose that tool.  In the resulting dialog, we configure the inputs for our model. 

Our response column, or the column we wish to predict, is the profit margin column, and the predictor columns are the variables we listed earlier. We leave the regression type as linear.

After we fill out the fields in the tool’s dialog, we click OK and a model will be generated for us to use.

When the model is generated we also get a few new Data Tables, model summary information and Visualizations to help us evaluate the model.  We can create additional models using different combinations of the predictor columns till we find the best model.

Once you have the model you want to use, you can now load a separate Data Table that includes metrics from the various lots which you may purchase for your new hotel.

You can then predict the profit margin for these lots, using the model you previously created, by going to the Insert menu and selecting the ‘Predicted Columns…’ menu


In that menu, you will select the model you wish to use for the prediction, which Data Table contains the data you want to predict, and then you need to match the Columns from the model’s Data Table to the columns from the predicted Data Table (in our example the column names for the various metrics , like Office, are identical in both Data Tables).
 

When you complete this, a new column called ‘Predicted’ will be added to all your potential site locations. From here you can see which site is predicted to have the highest profit margin.

You can then analyze additional details about the site location’s to determine the best location.  This is done by mashing up with another data source specific to each site location which includes variables for potential taxes, price of the lot to purchase, expected building costs, etc…

For more information on other types of regression and classification modeling please take our free v4.5 to v5.0 Delta Training Jumpstart at http://spottrain.tibco.com/sln/course/view.php?id=114. Click the ‘Proceed without an Account’ button to login as a guest if you do not have an account.

 

Comments

 

lauritssn said:

It would be very interesting so see how to make a dynamic model, where the explanatory variables are chosen from a list box. In your example there are three non significant variables that could easily be removed. In this way a model can quickly be tried out. Would that be possible?

Also please consider including more options for output from the model. I have an example that I created in R for extremely cool regression output - perhaps you want to take a look? Contact me to get the URL as I cannot make it public.

January 30, 2013 2:36 AM
 

Kevin Hanegan said:

Yes, I wanted to keep the tip short with the details of this being in the free delta training video, but yes, you can easily create multiple models to remove variables that are non-significant.

Right now the selection from the list box needs to happen in the tool directly, but there is an edit model option so you can edit the model and choose to remove those non-significant variables (as opposed to building multiple models). This will allow you to update the model quickly to see the results.

I believe our product management and engineering teams would love your input on what outputs you would like added. I will contact you separately to see what you have done.

January 30, 2013 5:13 AM
 

Isaac Mensah said:

Hello All,

I am  a novice at S-PluS ans statistics for that matter. I am writing a dissertation that requires me to use S-Plus MM Regression analysis. I have the data available but I am at  loss. I need someone to consult with live to walk me through this. I will pay for the use of someones time.

I have purchased the software, but I am having issues with it as well. I am supposed to download another version, but the download is not working as well.

Any takers for a help?

Thanks

Isaac

January 30, 2013 12:08 PM
 

Scott said:

Is TERR required for this to work?  Or can it be done with just a professional license?

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monster beats said:

February 15, 2013 6:18 PM
 

monster beats said:

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Kevin Hanegan said:

@Scott. This requires Spotfire Professional v5.0 which include TERR inside it for those tools.

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